Sport Picks
Metalist Kharkiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 OSC Metalist, Kharkiv 
Match Events
45'
45'
Savitskyi A.
46'
46'
Sub
Tsvirenko O. In: Prykhodko D.
Out: Tsvirenko O.
51'
51'
Prykhodko D.
AI Match Summary
Metalist Kharkiv in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalist Kharkiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Metalist Kharkiv have won more games recently than MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- Model gives Metalist Kharkiv a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Metalist Kharkiv have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalist Kharkiv | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:3
May 3, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:3
Mar 31, 2024 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
4:1
May 22, 2021 Druha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Isaenko Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metalist Kharkiv 95 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metalist Kharkiv MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Metalist Kharkiv's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Metalist Kharkiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Metalist Kharkiv VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Metalist Kharkiv
(Home) 26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 UCSA
09 May
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 0 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
25 Apr
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
17 Apr
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 2 Bukovyna
07 Apr
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Away) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
25 Apr
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
12 Apr
Inhulets
0 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
08 Apr
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
