Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metallurg Bekabad vs FC Lochin

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Metallurg Stadium, Bekabad
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metallurg Bekabad host FC Lochin in the Pro Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Lochin have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Metallurg Bekabad have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.5. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward FC Lochin. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Metallurg Bekabad
39%
Draws
30%
FC Lochin
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Lochin haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 19%
FC Lochin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad FC Lochin
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 32 / 100
FC Lochin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad FC Lochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Lochin conceded in 45% of 11 recent games.

Recent resilience: Metallurg Bekabad stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS FC Lochin
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metallurg Bekabad

(Home)
23 Jul
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Metallurg Bekabad
08 Jun
Metallurg Bekabad
7 : 0
FarDU
04 Jun
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
31 May
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 1
Kattaqurgon
05 May
Jayxun
2 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

FC Lochin

(Away)
18 Jul
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
FC Lochin
09 Jun
FC Lochin
2 : 0
Kattaqurgon
31 May
FC Lochin
4 : 0
BuxDu
05 May
Respublika FA
0 : 0
FC Lochin
01 May
FC Lochin
2 : 2
Aral
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral1082024:726
2Shortan Guzor1072115:823
3FC Lochin1063119:721
4Kattaqurgon1053211:618
5Gazalkent1153317:1418
6Metallurg Bekabad1153325:1118
7FarDU1034313:1913
8Yaypan1041513:2013
9Olimpik-Mobiuz1033418:1312
10Respublika FA1033412:1012
11Jayxun102267:168
12BuxDu102177:217
13Pakhtakor II101186:234
14TerDU101188:204
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)