Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metallurg Bekabad vs Andijan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2024 Metallurg Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metallurg Bekabad play Andijan in the Super League 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metallurg Bekabad averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Andijan averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Metallurg Bekabad won 2, Andijan won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 19, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Metallurg Bekabad and 1.13 for Andijan. This points to a Metallurg Bekabad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Metallurg Bekabad
35%
Draws
30%
Andijan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad picked up more points recently compared to Andijan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 21%
Andijan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad Andijan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Andijan
0:0
May 18, 2024 Super League
Andijan vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:1
Sep 27, 2023 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Andijan
2:0
Apr 24, 2023 Super League
Andijan vs Metallurg Bekabad
5:0
Sep 15, 2021 Super League
Andijan vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 36 / 100
Andijan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad Andijan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Metallurg Bekabad or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metallurg Bekabad attacking → ← attacking Andijan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Andijan let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Metallurg Bekabad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Andijan lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 37
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nasaf Qarshi26157435:1852
2OKMK26145740:2947
3Navbahor Namangan261110542:3143
4Sogdiana26127741:2943
5Neftchi Fargona261110532:2443
6Pakhtakor261151042:3738
7Termez Surkhon261061030:3136
8Din. Samarkand26951235:3832
9Andijan26612836:3630
10Bunyodkor26791027:3830
11Qizilqum26691125:3427
12Olympic26671322:3825
13Metallurg Bekabad26314922:3023
14Lok. Tashkent26561528:4421