Sport Picks
Metallurg Bekabad vs Termez Surkhon
Uzbekistan
Super League 2024 Metallurg Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2024 game between Metallurg Bekabad and Termez Surkhon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Metallurg Bekabad haven't matched Termez Surkhon's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Metallurg Bekabad's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Super League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Termez Surkhon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metallurg Bekabad | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metallurg Bekabad Compare
Termez Surkhon Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metallurg Bekabad's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Termez Surkhon let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Metallurg Bekabad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 35:18 | 52 |
| 2 | OKMK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:31 | 43 |
| 4 | Sogdiana | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 32:24 | 43 |
| 6 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 38 |
| 7 | Termez Surkhon | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 32 |
| 9 | Andijan | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 36:36 | 30 |
| 10 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:38 | 30 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 27 |
| 12 | Olympic | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:38 | 25 |
| 13 | Metallurg Bekabad | 26 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Lok. Tashkent | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | 21 |