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Metapan vs Dragon Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Guerra S.
31' Event
Mendez L.
Penalty Missed
64' Event
Amaya J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Metapan in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Metapan
20%
Draws
19%
Dragon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metapan lately — more wins on the board than Dragon.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Metapan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Metapan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Dragon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.29 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Metapan
2:3
Feb 13, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Dragon
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Metapan
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs Dragon
4:0
May 4, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Metapan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderon K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 95 / 100
Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Metapan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Metapan scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Dragon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 7

Dragon

(Away)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)