Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2023/2024

Metropolitan Police

Sat, Sep 23, 2023

1 - 2

02:00 PM

Ashford United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Ashford United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Metropolitan Police

20%

Draws

38%

Ashford United

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metropolitan Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Metropolitan Police haven't matched Ashford United's recent run of results.
Model gives Metropolitan Police a 42% chance of winning this.
Ashford United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ashford United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Metropolitan Police Clean Sheet 13%

Ashford United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Metropolitan Police	Ashford United
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	15
Draws	5	2
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 FA Trophy

Metropolitan Police vs Ashford United

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropolitan Police 40 / 100

Ashford United 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Metropolitan Police Ashford United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metropolitan Police scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ashford United has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Ashford United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metropolitan Police VS Ashford United

1.25 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metropolitan Police

(Home)

06 Sept

Hayes & Yeading

1 : 0

Metropolitan Police

29 Jul

Godalming Town

0 : 1

Metropolitan Police

26 Jul

Molesey

1 : 3

Metropolitan Police

22 Jul

Metropolitan Police

0 : 4

Walton & Hersham

15 Jul

Metropolitan Police

2 : 3

Aldershot

Page 1 of 6

Ashford United

(Away)

25 Jul

Maidstone

4 : 0

Ashford United

25 Oct

Real Bedford

3 : 2

Ashford United

04 Oct

Ashford United

4 : 3

Biggleswade FC

20 Sept

Deal Town

2 : 3

Ashford United

13 Sept

Ashford United

0 : 3

Chatham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Avro2

Winterton Rangers1

Trafford1

Stalybridge2

TBD-

Warrington Rylands-

Stockton3

Pontefract Collieries1

Bootle6

Consett2

TBD-

Bamber Bridge-

North Ferriby FC2

Ossett United1

Prescot Cables4

Bridlington Town0

TBD-

Atherton Collieries-

Bradford PA-

TBD-

Liversedge0

Nantwich3

Dunston3

Ashington0

Lancaster-

TBD-

City Of Liverpool3

1874 Northwich1

Runcorn Linnets0

Witton Albion1

Hanley Town2

Cleethorpes0

Sheffield FC2

Spalding United1

TBD-

Macclesfield-

Morpeth-

TBD-

United of Manchester-

Ashton United-

TBD-

Brighouse Town2

Hebburn Town1

Widnes FC0

Clitheroe1

Workington-

TBD-

Hyde-

Radcliffe-

TBD-

Whitby-

Gainsborough-

TBD-

Guiseley-

Worksop-

TBD-

Mossley AFC0

Vauxhall2

Newton Aycliffe1

Stocksbridge3

Marske United-

TBD-

Marine-

Quorn4

Coventry Sphinx0

Bedworth United1

Leek Town5

TBD-

Telford-

Long Eaton-

TBD-

Stourbridge-

Stratford-

TBD-

Basford Utd.-

Redditch-

TBD-

Leamington-

Hinckley LR-

TBD-

Harborough2

Lye Town1

Biggleswade FC3

Stowmarket Town1

Hadley4

Ware1

Barwell-

TBD-

Mickleover-

St Ives Town-

TBD-

Kettering-

Bromsgrove-

TBD-

Halesowen-

Anstey Nomads2

Corby0

Loughborough Dynamo2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds1

TBD-

Alvechurch-

Royston Town-

TBD-

Coalville Town-

Sutton Coldfield Town0

Boldmere St Michaels2

Rugby1

Grantham Town5

Kings Langley1

Cambridge City2

Leighton Town3

Kempston1

Stafford-

TBD-

Gresley0

Kidsgrove Athletic6

Sporting Khalsa1

Grimsby Borough0

Hitchin-

TBD-

Stamford-

Matlock-

TBD-

Bowers & Pitsea3

Gorleston1

Aylesbury United2

Bedford3

Ilkeston-

TBD-

Belper Town2

Newcastle Town0

Hednesford0

Walsall Wood3

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Coleshill Town1

Carlton Town5

Chasetown5

Shepshed1

Carshalton-

TBD-

Broadbridge Heath0

Cray Valley2

Corinthian-Casuals0

Hartley Wintney1

Hendon-

TBD-

Sudbury-

Westfield4

Littlehampton1

Raynes Park Vale0

Marlow1

Southall FC2

Chichester City1

Herne Bay1

Leatherhead6

Leiston-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Walton & Hersham-

TBD-

Canvey Island-

Chesham-

TBD-

Enfield Town-

Bognor Regis-

TBD-

Hayes & Yeading-

Horsham FC-

TBD-

AFC Dunstable-

East Thurrock Utd-

Wroxham2

Brightlingsea4

Harrow Borough-

TBD-

Margate-

Cheshunt-

TBD-

Dulwich Hamlet-

Thame United0

Badshot Lea5

Merstham0

Sutton Common Rovers3

FC Witham Town3

Maldon & Tiptree0

Redbridge1

Stotfold0

Beaconsfield Town-

TBD-

Phoenix Sports1

Metropolitan Police2

Ashford United7

Binfield1

Potters-

TBD-

Berkhamsted Town-

Needham Market-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers-

Hanwell Town-

TBD-

Bracknell Town-

Waltham Abbey6

Ipswich Wanderers2

Heybridge3

Barton2

TBD-

Chatham-

Lewes-

TBD-

Welwyn Garden3

Basildon5

Lowestoft5

New Salamis FC3

South Park2

Erith & Belvedere1

Beckenham Town1

Three Bridges5

TBD-

Hashtag-

Concord Rangers-

TBD-

Hanworth Villa1

Chertsey Town2

Burgess Hill1

Hythe3

Wingate & Finchley-

TBD-

Biggleswade Town2

Bury Town3

Enfield FC-

Walthamstow FC-

Ramsgate3

Northwood0

Uxbridge1

Sevenoaks2

East Grinstead Town0

Sheppey United1

Sittingbourne2

Ashford Town1

Hastings-

TBD-

Kingstonian-

Billericay-

TBD-

Felixstowe & Walton2

Brentwood0

Hertford Town3

Grays2

Whitehawk-

TBD-

Horndean2

Ascot United3

Chipstead2

Lancing4

Folkestone-

TBD-

Haringey Borough-

Didcot-

TBD-

Cribbs3

Bideford2

Evesham1

Bashley2

Poole Town-

TBD-

Sholing-

Basingstoke-

TBD-

Kidlington2

North Leigh0

Exmouth Town4

Wimborne3

Bishops Cleeve6

Paulton Rovers1

Thatcham2

Bristol Manor Farm3

Westbury United2

Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC5

Frome Town3

Cirencester1

Swindon Supermarine-

TBD-

Tiverton-

Hamworthy United3

Melksham0

Larkhall2

Willand Rovers0

Malvern Town2

Mousehole4

Yate0

Tavistock2

Gosport Borough-

TBD-

Salisbury-

Merthyr Town-

TBD-

Dorchester-

AFC Totton-

TBD-

Plymouth Parkway-

Winchester City-

TBD-

Hungerford-

Semi-finals

Avro1

Stalybridge0

TBD-

Warrington Rylands-

Stockton0

Bootle2

TBD-

Bamber Bridge-

North Ferriby FC3

Prescot Cables2

TBD-

Atherton Collieries-

Bradford PA-

TBD-

Nantwich2

Dunston1

Lancaster-

TBD-

City Of Liverpool2

Witton Albion1

Hanley Town2

Sheffield FC1

TBD-

Macclesfield-

Morpeth-

TBD-

United of Manchester-

Ashton United-

TBD-

Brighouse Town3

Clitheroe2

Workington-

TBD-

Hyde-

Radcliffe-

TBD-

Whitby-

Gainsborough-

TBD-

Guiseley-

Worksop-

TBD-

Vauxhall0

Stocksbridge1

Marske United-

TBD-

Marine-

Quorn4

Leek Town2

TBD-

Telford-

Long Eaton-

TBD-

Stourbridge-

Stratford-

TBD-

Basford Utd.-

Redditch-

TBD-

Leamington-

Hinckley LR0

Harborough1

Biggleswade FC2

Hadley1

Barwell-

TBD-

Mickleover-

St Ives Town-

TBD-

Kettering-

Bromsgrove-

TBD-

Halesowen-

Anstey Nomads3

Loughborough Dynamo2

TBD-

Alvechurch-

Royston Town-

TBD-

Coalville Town-

Boldmere St Michaels2

Grantham Town1

Cambridge City0

Leighton Town2

Stafford-

TBD-

Kidsgrove Athletic2

Sporting Khalsa4

Hitchin-

TBD-

Stamford-

Matlock-

TBD-

Bowers & Pitsea0

Bedford1

Ilkeston-

TBD-

Belper Town1

Walsall Wood2

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Carlton Town2

Chasetown1

Carshalton-

TBD-

Cray Valley2

Hartley Wintney0

Hendon-

TBD-

Sudbury-

Westfield2

Marlow1

Southall FC1

Leatherhead3

Leiston-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Walton & Hersham-

TBD-

Canvey Island-

Chesham-

TBD-

Enfield Town-

Bognor Regis-

TBD-

Hayes & Yeading-

Horsham FC-

TBD-

AFC Dunstable2

Brightlingsea3

Harrow Borough-

TBD-

Margate-

Cheshunt-

TBD-

Dulwich Hamlet-

Badshot Lea5

Sutton Common Rovers3

FC Witham Town2

Redbridge3

Beaconsfield Town-

TBD-

Metropolitan Police1

Ashford United2

Potters-

TBD-

Berkhamsted Town-

Needham Market-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers-

Hanwell Town-

TBD-

Bracknell Town-

Waltham Abbey1

Heybridge5

TBD-

Chatham-

Lewes-

TBD-

Basildon0

Lowestoft4

South Park2

Three Bridges1

TBD-

Hashtag-

Concord Rangers-

TBD-

Chertsey Town2

Hythe4

Wingate & Finchley-

TBD-

Bury Town2

Walthamstow FC1

Ramsgate3

Sevenoaks1

Sheppey United2

Sittingbourne1

Hastings-

TBD-

Kingstonian-

Billericay-

TBD-

Felixstowe & Walton6

Hertford Town3

Whitehawk-

TBD-

Ascot United6

Lancing2

Folkestone-

TBD-

Haringey Borough-

Didcot-

TBD-

Cribbs4

Bashley3

Poole Town-

TBD-

Sholing-

Basingstoke-

TBD-

Kidlington2

Exmouth Town1

Bishops Cleeve3

Bristol Manor Farm2

Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC0

Frome Town3

Swindon Supermarine-

TBD-

Tiverton-

Hamworthy United1

Larkhall2

Mousehole3

Tavistock0

Gosport Borough-

TBD-

Salisbury-

Merthyr Town-

TBD-

Dorchester-

AFC Totton-

TBD-

Plymouth Parkway-

Winchester City-

TBD-

Hungerford-

Final

Avro4

Warrington Rylands0

Bootle0

Bamber Bridge2

North Ferriby FC4

Atherton Collieries0

Bradford PA0

Nantwich1

Lancaster0

City Of Liverpool1

Hanley Town0

Macclesfield1

Morpeth1

United of Manchester4

Ashton United2

Brighouse Town1

Workington1

Hyde3

Radcliffe3

Whitby2

Gainsborough1

Guiseley3

Worksop2

Stocksbridge1

Marske United2

Marine4

Quorn2

Telford0

Long Eaton1

Stourbridge4

Stratford1

Basford Utd.0

Redditch2

Leamington1

Harborough2

Biggleswade FC1

Barwell2

Mickleover3

St Ives Town3

Kettering2

Bromsgrove0

Halesowen2

Anstey Nomads0

Alvechurch1

Royston Town1

Coalville Town3

Boldmere St Michaels0

Leighton Town3

Stafford3

Sporting Khalsa2

Hitchin2

Stamford3

Matlock1

Bedford0

Ilkeston2

Walsall Wood3

Nuneaton1

Carlton Town0

Carshalton1

Cray Valley2

Hendon3

Sudbury1

Westfield3

Leatherhead1

Leiston2

Hornchurch1

Walton & Hersham3

Canvey Island1

Chesham4

Enfield Town3

Bognor Regis3

Hayes & Yeading1

Horsham FC2

Brightlingsea0

Harrow Borough1

Margate0

Cheshunt0

Dulwich Hamlet1

Badshot Lea0

Redbridge1

Beaconsfield Town3

Ashford United0

Potters4

Berkhamsted Town1

Needham Market0

Cray Wanderers1

Hanwell Town1

Bracknell Town2

Heybridge1

Chatham2

Lewes4

Lowestoft1

South Park2

Hashtag0

Concord Rangers2

Hythe3

Wingate & Finchley0

Bury Town1

Ramsgate4

Sheppey United1

Hastings1

Kingstonian2

Billericay4

Felixstowe & Walton3

Whitehawk2

Ascot United0

Folkestone2

Haringey Borough3

Didcot1

Cribbs2

Poole Town3

Sholing1

Basingstoke3

Kidlington0

Bishops Cleeve1

Frome Town5

Swindon Supermarine3

Tiverton1

Larkhall2

Mousehole0

Gosport Borough3

Salisbury2

Merthyr Town3

Dorchester1

AFC Totton2

Plymouth Parkway1

Winchester City3

Hungerford5

Metropolitan Police vs Ashford United

England

Metropolitan Police

Ashford United

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Metropolitan Police

Ashford United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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