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Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metropolitanos host Deportivo La Guaira in the Liga FUTVE. Little to choose between these two on current form. Deportivo La Guaira have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Metropolitanos have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Deportivo La Guaira slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.06) back Metropolitanos to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Metropolitanos
35%
Draws
47%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo La Guaira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metropolitanos come out ahead of Deportivo La Guaira on wins alone.
  • Deportivo La Guaira are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metropolitanos Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
2:2
Aug 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropolitanos 20 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metropolitanos Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo La Guaira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Metropolitanos scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Deportivo La Guaira let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Metropolitanos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metropolitanos VS Deportivo La Guaira
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Metropolitanos

(Home)
04 Nov
Metropolitanos
0 : 2
Carabobo
01 Nov
Carabobo
1 : 1
Metropolitanos
28 Oct
Metropolitanos
0 : 0
Portuguesa
25 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
22 Oct
Metropolitanos
1 : 2
Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
04 Nov
Portuguesa
0 : 3
Deportivo La Guaira
01 Nov
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Portuguesa
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0
Aragua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Deportivo La Guaira 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
3 Metropolitanos 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Portuguesa 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Caracas 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
4 Monagas 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)