Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meux vs St. Liege U23

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade des Vert et Blanc, La Bruyère
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vander Cammen L.
30' Event
Marion C.
33' Event
Gauchet L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between Meux and St. Liege U23 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Meux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Meux
15%
Draws
21%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Meux come out ahead of St. Liege U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Meux a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Meux here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Meux Clean Sheet 14%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meux St. Liege U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Meux
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Meux vs St. Liege U23
4:0
Oct 26, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Meux
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meux Compare

Top Goalscorer Vander Cammen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marion C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

St. Liege U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meux 84 / 100
St. Liege U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meux St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meux scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

St. Liege U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Meux went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meux VS St. Liege U23
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Meux

(Home)
19 Sept
Meux
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
13 Sept
Flenu
1 : 4
Meux
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
29 Aug
Meux
2 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
26 Aug
Renaissance Mons
0 : 5
Meux
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Tubize-Braine
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tubize-Braine 22 14 5 3 49:20 47
2 Virton 22 14 5 3 61:35 47
3 Renaissance Mons 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Meux 22 10 6 6 38:28 36
5 Habay La Neuve 22 10 6 6 38:35 36
6 Union Rochefortoise 22 9 4 9 33:40 31
7 Charleroi B 22 9 3 10 36:38 30
8 Stockay-Warfusee 22 7 5 10 22:35 26
9 St. Gilloise 2 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Namur 22 4 4 14 30:50 16
11 Crossing Schaerbeek 22 4 4 14 24:44 16
12 St. Liege U23 22 3 6 13 25:47 15
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)