Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U20 vs Aruba U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Macias J.
14' Event
Macias J.
21' Event
Lopez D.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U20 in this CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 matchup, with the score ending 10-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mexico U20
20%
Draws
28%
Aruba U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U20 have won more games recently than Aruba U20.
  • Model gives Mexico U20 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 Aruba U20
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2020 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Aruba U20
0:0
Nov 10, 2018 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Aruba U20
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Macias J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aruba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 85 / 100
Aruba U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 Aruba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mexico U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aruba U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 VS Aruba U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20

(Home)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
Page 1 of 7

Aruba U20

(Away)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 5 5 0 0 39:2 15
2 Suriname U20 5 3 0 2 18:12 9
3 Puerto Rico U20 5 3 0 2 16:15 9
4 Trinidad & Tobago U20 5 3 0 2 12:11 9
5 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
6 United States Virgin Islands U20 5 0 0 5 2:40 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 5 4 1 0 31:2 13
2 Jamaica U20 5 4 1 0 24:3 13
3 Grenada U20 5 2 0 3 7:14 6
4 Nicaragua U20 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
5 Aruba U20 5 1 1 3 6:20 4
6 Saint Martin U20 5 0 1 4 3:23 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 5 5 0 0 30:5 15
2 Cuba U20 5 4 0 1 19:5 12
3 Dominican Republic U20 5 3 0 2 23:10 9
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
5 Belize U20 5 1 0 4 5:19 3
6 Sint Maarten U20 5 0 0 5 4:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U20 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Canada U20 5 3 0 2 10:6 9
3 Guadeloupe U20 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
4 Dominica U20 5 2 0 3 5:14 6
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 5 1 0 4 7:10 3
6 Martinique U20 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U20 4 4 0 0 14:0 12
2 Haiti U20 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Saint Lucia U20 4 2 0 2 3:8 6
4 Barbados U20 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
5 Bermuda U20 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
2 Guatemala U20 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Curacao U20 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Cayman Islands U20 4 1 1 2 8:11 4
5 Guyana U20 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2018 (Promotion)