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Mexico vs Leganes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico host Leganes B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Mexico have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Leganes B's 1.7 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Leganes B slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.94, favoring Leganes B. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Mexico
35%
Draws
52%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico haven't matched Leganes B's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Leganes B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leganes B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Leganes B
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Leganes B
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Leganes B
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
4:0
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 18 / 100
Leganes B 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Leganes B let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mexico stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Leganes B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
07 Nov
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Mexico
31 Oct
Mexico
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
24 Oct
CD Las Rozas
4 : 3
Mexico
17 Oct
Mexico
2 : 2
Real Aranjuez
11 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 3
Mexico
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Leganes B

(Away)
08 Nov
Leganes B
2 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
01 Nov
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 4
Leganes B
25 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 2
Trival Valderas
18 Oct
RC Alcobendas
1 : 2
Leganes B
11 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 3
Galapagar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 10 7 2 1 24:7 23
2 Colonia Moscardo 10 4 6 0 20:10 18
3 CD Las Rozas 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
4 Galapagar 10 5 3 2 21:16 18
5 Cala Pozuelo 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
6 Union Adarve 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Leganes B 10 4 3 3 21:14 15
8 Trival Valderas 10 3 6 1 15:12 15
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 10 4 3 3 14:17 15
10 AD Torrejon 10 4 2 4 17:10 14
11 CF Fuenlabrada 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 CP Parla Escuela 10 2 4 4 15:19 10
13 Real Aranjuez 10 2 4 4 15:21 10
14 Rayo Vallecano B 10 2 3 5 14:19 9
15 RC Alcobendas 10 2 3 5 16:23 9
16 Mexico 10 1 4 5 13:17 7
17 San Sebastian Reyes B 10 2 1 7 14:27 7
18 Siello 10 2 1 7 9:28 7
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)