Sport Picks
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia 
Match Events
4'
4'
Irodovskyi D.
(Penalty)
16'
16'
Lys N.
20'
20'
Slyusar D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's 0.38.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 18%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 29, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:1
May 2, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:3
Mar 30, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:2
May 19, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare
Top Goalscorer Lys N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 32 / 100
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Home) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
19 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 1 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
(Away) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
17 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2 Nyva Ternopil
09 May
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 0 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
02 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 2 Bukovyna
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
09 May
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 0 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
24 Apr
Livyi Bereg
1 : 0 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
11 Apr
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
03 Apr
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 0 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
