Sport Picks
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia 
Match Events
7'
7'
Klymenko V.
25'
25'
Rudavskyi M.
Own Goal
28'
28'
Yurechko I.
AI Match Summary
Metalist Kharkiv in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalist Kharkiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Metalist Kharkiv lately — more wins on the board than MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- Model gives Metalist Kharkiv a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Metalist Kharkiv here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:3
May 3, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:3
Mar 31, 2024 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
4:1
May 22, 2021 Druha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Top Goalscorer Yurechko I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Bagachanskyi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Isaenko Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalist Kharkiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Metalist Kharkiv let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Metalist Kharkiv
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Home) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
19 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 1 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 3
Metalist Kharkiv
(Away) 26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
