Sport Picks
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia 
Match Events
49'
49'
Irodovskyi D.
52'
52'
Klymenko V.
Own Goal
56'
56'
Sub
Rezepov D. In: Bey A.
Out: Rezepov D.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Nyva Ternopil finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nyva Ternopil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Nyva Ternopil carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Nyva Ternopil's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 14%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Nyva Ternopil
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:0
May 18, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1
May 12, 2024 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Top Goalscorer Irodovskyi D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Misanov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Nyva Ternopil Compare
Top Goalscorer Mysyk M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 23 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Nyva Ternopil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nyva Ternopil let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Nyva Ternopil
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Home) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
19 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 1 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 3
Nyva Ternopil
(Away) 24 Jul
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
18 Jul
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
03 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
01 Jun
UCSA
3 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
18 Jul
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
03 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
01 Jun
UCSA
3 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
17 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)