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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Probiy Horodenka

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Klymenko V. In: Doroshenko D.
Out: Klymenko V.
38'
Felipovych V.
42'
Gavrylyuk N.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Probiy Horodenka finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Probiy Horodenka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
11%
Draws
80%
Probiy Horodenka
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Probiy Horodenka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya haven't matched Probiy Horodenka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Probiy Horodenka's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 11%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:1
Oct 8, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Probiy Horodenka
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanychuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Probiy Horodenka conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Probiy Horodenka
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00