Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MFK Karvina vs Kromeriz

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Town Stadium Karvina, Karvina
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kronus A.
29'
Holik Lu.
38' Event
Kriz D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

MFK Karvina in this ChNL matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MFK Karvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
MFK Karvina
20%
Draws
36%
Kromeriz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MFK Karvina lately — more wins on the board than Kromeriz.
  • Model gives MFK Karvina a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 20%
Kromeriz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Karvina Kromeriz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.82 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Kromeriz
3:2
Sep 25, 2024 MOL Cup
Kromeriz vs MFK Karvina
1:0
Sep 20, 2017 MOL Cup
Kromeriz vs MFK Karvina
0:4
May 10, 2008 3. MSFL
Kromeriz vs MFK Karvina
1:1
Oct 6, 2007 3. MSFL
MFK Karvina vs Kromeriz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Kronus A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kromeriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Korycan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toman Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Karvina 85 / 100
Kromeriz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Karvina Kromeriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFK Karvina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Kromeriz conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: MFK Karvina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MFK Karvina VS Kromeriz
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Karvina

(Home)
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
29 Aug
Pribram
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
26 Aug
FK Kozlovice
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
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Kromeriz

(Away)
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
12 Sept
Kromeriz
2 : 2
Opava
06 Sept
Ostrava B
1 : 1
Kromeriz
29 Aug
Kromeriz
2 : 1
Prostejov
26 Aug
Vsetin
2 : 1
Kromeriz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 9 6 0 3 19:12 18
2 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
3 Jihlava 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
4 Usti nad Labem 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Slavia Prague B 9 3 4 2 19:15 13
6 Taborsko 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Pribram 8 3 4 1 13:12 13
8 Ostrava B 8 3 2 3 15:10 11
9 Opava 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
10 Zizkov 9 3 1 5 8:16 10
11 Vlasim 8 2 3 3 13:13 9
12 SK Kladno 8 2 3 3 11:12 9
13 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
14 Prostejov 9 1 5 3 11:12 8
15 Trinec 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)