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Miajadas vs Pueblonuevo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between Miajadas and Pueblonuevo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miajadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Miajadas
35%
Draws
49%
Pueblonuevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pueblonuevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pueblonuevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pueblonuevo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 19%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miajadas Pueblonuevo
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 14
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.81 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Pueblonuevo
3:0
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Miajadas
1:1
Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Miajadas
6:0
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Pueblonuevo
2:1
Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Pueblonuevo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miajadas 24 / 100
Pueblonuevo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miajadas Pueblonuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pueblonuevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pueblonuevo let in goals in 78% of their last 45 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Miajadas scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Miajadas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pueblonuevo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miajadas

(Home)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

Pueblonuevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)