Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miami FC 2 vs Miami United

USA USA

US Open Cup 2018 Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mares D.
45'
Tyrpak K.
49' Event
Ochoa Moncada D.

AI Match Summary

Miami United in this US Open Cup 2018 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Miami FC 2
28%
Draws
22%
Miami United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Miami FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Miami United lately — more wins on the board than Miami FC 2.
  • Miami FC 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Miami United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Miami United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Miami FC 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Miami United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC 2 Miami United
Matches Played 2 18
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2018 US Open Cup
Miami FC 2 vs Miami United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mares D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Miami United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochoa Moncada D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Pelae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 2 48 / 100
Miami United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC 2 Miami United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miami FC 2's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Miami United let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Away concern: Miami United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC 2 VS Miami United
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miami FC 2

(Home)
17 May
Miami FC 2
1 : 3
Miami United
09 May
Miami FC 2
4 : 0
Red Force

Miami United

(Away)
19 Mar
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
Miami United
17 Apr
Memphis 901
2 : 0
Miami United
03 Apr
Miami United
2 : 0
Club de Lyon
19 Mar
Chattanooga
0 : 1
Miami United
23 Mar
Jacksonville Armada U23
2 : 1
Miami United
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Chicago Fire-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
Charleston-
TBD-
Myrtle Beach1
South Georgia Tormenta2
Seacoast United Phantoms3
Kendall Wanderers2
Western Pioneers1
Elm Express City2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Nashville SC-
TBD-
Charlotte Eagles1
Inter Nashville6
Indy Eleven-
TBD-
New Orleans Jesters1
Mississippi Brilla2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Louis FC-
TBD-
Dakota Fusion4
Duluth FC5
Long Island6
Kingston Stockade3
TBD-
Louisville City-
Orlando City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jacksonville Armada2
Sima Aguilas0
TBD-
Tampa Bay-
Miami FC 24
Red Force0
Kendall2
Miami United5
North Carolina FC-
TBD-
Brooklyn Italians0
Lansdowne Yonkers2
Charlotte Independence-
TBD-
Ann Arbor0
Ocean City3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
DC United-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
Richmond Kickers-
TBD-
Christos1
Reading2
Motown2
New York Red Bulls U231
TBD-
Penn Football Club-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting Arizona1
Arizona FC0
TBD-
Phoenix Rising-
Orange County FC3
Santa Ana Winds0
TBD-
Monterey Bay-
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reno 1868-
TBD-
Kitsap Pumas0
Portland (Capital) U235
San Francisco City4
Aguiluchos0
TBD-
Sacramento Republic-
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Las Vegas Lights-
TBD-
La Maquina1
Tucson2
Orange County SC-
TBD-
L.A. Wolves1
Golden State Force3
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Salt Lake-
San Antonio FC-
TBD-
Lakeland Tropics0
Midland Sockers3
FC Denver4
Azteca2
TBD-
Colorado Springs-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Dallas-
Minnesota United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds-
TBD-
Rochester River Dogz1
Erie Commodores2
Detroit City2
Michigan Bucks1
TBD-
FC Cincinnati-
NTX Rayados2
Fort Worth Vaqueros1
TBD-
Oklahoma City Energy FC-
FC Tulsa-
TBD-
Oklahoma City Energy FC U231
FC Wichita3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Houston Dynamo-
1/64-finals
Chicago Fire-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
Charleston1
South Georgia Tormenta0
Seacoast United Phantoms0
Elm Express City2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Nashville SC2
Inter Nashville0
Indy Eleven0
Mississippi Brilla1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Louis FC2
Duluth FC0
Long Island0
Louisville City5
Orlando City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jacksonville Armada1
Tampa Bay0
Miami FC 21
Miami United3
North Carolina FC3
Lansdowne Yonkers0
Charlotte Independence1
Ocean City3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
DC United-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
Richmond Kickers2
Reading1
Motown1
Penn Football Club3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting Arizona2
Phoenix Rising1
Orange County FC0
Monterey Bay2
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reno 18687
Portland (Capital) U233
San Francisco City1
Sacramento Republic3
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Las Vegas Lights4
Tucson2
Orange County SC2
Golden State Force4
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Salt Lake-
San Antonio FC4
Midland Sockers0
FC Denver2
Colorado Springs3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Dallas-
Minnesota United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Erie Commodores1
Detroit City1
FC Cincinnati4
NTX Rayados5
Oklahoma City Energy FC2
FC Tulsa3
FC Wichita4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Houston Dynamo-
1/32-finals
Chicago Fire-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
Charleston1
Elm Express City0
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Nashville SC3
Mississippi Brilla1
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
St. Louis FC0
Louisville City1
Orlando City-
TBD-
Jacksonville Armada0
Miami United2
North Carolina FC4
Ocean City1
TBD-
DC United-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
Richmond Kickers3
Penn Football Club2
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
Sporting Arizona1
Monterey Bay2
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Reno 18680
Sacramento Republic1
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
Las Vegas Lights1
Golden State Force2
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Salt Lake-
San Antonio FC2
Colorado Springs1
TBD-
FC Dallas-
Minnesota United-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
FC Cincinnati3
NTX Rayados3
FC Wichita2
TBD-
Houston Dynamo-
1/16-finals
Chicago Fire3
Columbus Crew2
Charleston0
Atlanta United3
Nashville SC2
Colorado Rapids0
New England Revolution2
Louisville City3
Orlando City3
Miami United0
North Carolina FC1
DC United2
New York Red Bulls4
New York City0
Richmond Kickers0
Philadelphia Union5
Los Angeles FC2
Monterey Bay0
Seattle Sounders1
Sacramento Republic2
Los Angeles Galaxy3
Golden State Force1
San Jose Earthquakes0
Portland Timbers2
Sporting Kansas City2
Real Salt Lake0
San Antonio FC0
FC Dallas1
Minnesota United1
FC Cincinnati0
NTX Rayados0
Houston Dynamo5
1/8-finals
Chicago Fire1
Atlanta United0
Nashville SC1
Louisville City2
Orlando City2
DC United1
New York Red Bulls1
Philadelphia Union2
Los Angeles FC3
Sacramento Republic2
Los Angeles Galaxy0
Portland Timbers1
Sporting Kansas City3
FC Dallas2
Minnesota United0
Houston Dynamo1
Quarter-finals
Chicago Fire4
Louisville City0
Orlando City0
Philadelphia Union1
Los Angeles FC3
Portland Timbers2
Sporting Kansas City2
Houston Dynamo4
Semi-finals
Chicago Fire0
Philadelphia Union3
Los Angeles FC3
Houston Dynamo4
Final
Philadelphia Union0
Houston Dynamo3