Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic

USA USA

USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Real M. In: Presthus T.
Out: Real M.
45'
Milesi A.
61'
Sub
Tunbridge M. In: Locadia J.
Out: Tunbridge M.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Hartford Athletic finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Miami FC
11%
Draws
9%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Miami FC's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Hartford Athletic have produced (1.13).
  • Win probability leans Miami FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hartford Athletic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 18%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
0:1
Aug 6, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 76 / 100
Hartford Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC Hartford Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartford Athletic has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Miami FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Miami FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS Hartford Athletic
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515