Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL

Miami FC

1 - 4

Tampa Bay

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Perez L.

Assist: Cruz S.

28'

Sub

Rogers A. In: Ndongo M.

Out: Rogers A.

42'

Myers M.

Assist: Ostrem C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Tampa Bay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Miami FC

33%

Draws

27%

Tampa Bay

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tampa Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Miami FC's way, sitting at 40%.
Tampa Bay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Tampa Bay, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Tampa Bay here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Miami FC Clean Sheet 16%

Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Miami FC	Tampa Bay
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	11	21
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	3
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 USL Championship

Miami FC vs Tampa Bay

2:3

May 16, 2026 USL Cup

Miami FC vs Tampa Bay

1:4

Jun 14, 2025 USL Championship

Tampa Bay vs Miami FC

2:1

Apr 26, 2025 USL Cup

Tampa Bay vs Miami FC

3:4

Mar 22, 2025 USL Championship

Miami FC vs Tampa Bay

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tunbridge M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Tampa Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Myers M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Perez L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 39 / 100

Tampa Bay 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Miami FC Tampa Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Miami FC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Miami FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tampa Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS Tampa Bay

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miami FC

(Home)

25 Jul

Miami FC

2 : 3

Tampa Bay

23 Jul

Colorado Springs

2 : 0

Miami FC

15 Jul

Miami FC

2 : 0

Indy Eleven

11 Jul

Sarasota Paradise

0 : 5

Miami FC

05 Jul

Miami FC

1 : 1

Birmingham Legion

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Tampa Bay

(Away)

25 Jul

Miami FC

2 : 3

Tampa Bay

18 Jul

Loudoun United

1 : 1

Tampa Bay

11 Jul

Tampa Bay

2 : 0

FC Naples

04 Jul

Tampa Bay

1 : 4

Lexington

20 Jun

Brooklyn FC

0 : 2

Tampa Bay

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