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Middelfart vs Fredensborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Middelfart
35%
Draws
26%
Fredensborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Middelfart lately — more wins on the board than Fredensborg.
  • Model gives Middelfart a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 16%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Fredensborg
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.49 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Middelfart vs Fredensborg
0:0
Apr 8, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Middelfart
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 57 / 100
Fredensborg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Fredensborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middelfart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredensborg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Middelfart's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Middelfart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Fredensborg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
Skive
0 : 0
Middelfart
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
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Fredensborg

(Away)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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