Sport Picks
Middlesbrough U21 vs Birmingham U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland 
Match Events
3'
3'
Coulson F.
Assist: Baptiste A.
18'
18'
Guernier A.
23'
23'
Betteka Z.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Middlesbrough U21 and Birmingham U21 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Middlesbrough U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Middlesbrough U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Birmingham U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough U21 | Birmingham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 2.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Birmingham U21
1:4
Feb 5, 2024 Premier League Cup
Birmingham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:4
Nov 12, 2023 Premier League Cup
Middlesbrough U21 vs Birmingham U21
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Coulson F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Birmingham U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Silva A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Betteka Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough U21 85 / 100
Birmingham U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough U21 Birmingham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birmingham U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.
Middlesbrough U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Middlesbrough U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough U21 VS Birmingham U21
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough U21
(Home) 23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1 Norwich U21
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1 Norwich U21
13 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
6 : 1 Stoke City U21
02 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 4 Birmingham U21
16 Feb
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0 Nottingham U21
02 Feb
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 3 West Ham U21
Page 1 of 3
Birmingham U21
(Away) 18 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Birmingham U21
14 Aug
Swansea U21
3 : 0 Birmingham U21
10 Apr
Birmingham U21
0 : 3 Ipswich U21
03 Apr
Birmingham U21
1 : 1 Everton U21
20 Mar
Birmingham U21
1 : 5 Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Birmingham U21
14 Aug
Swansea U21
3 : 0 Birmingham U21
13 Mar
West Brom U21
4 : 0 Birmingham U21
02 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 4 Birmingham U21
22 Feb
Brighton U21
3 : 2 Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
