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Stadium Background

Middlesbrough W vs Stoke City LFC W

England England

Women's National League North 2025/2026 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough W Logo

Middlesbrough W

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Stoke City LFC W Logo

Stoke City LFC W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2025/2026 game between Middlesbrough W and Stoke City LFC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stoke City LFC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Middlesbrough W
15%
Draws
65%
Stoke City LFC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City LFC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stoke City LFC W come out ahead of Middlesbrough W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stoke City LFC W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stoke City LFC W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 19%
Stoke City LFC W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough W Stoke City LFC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Stoke City LFC W
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Middlesbrough W
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Middlesbrough W
2:6
Oct 17, 2021 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Stoke City LFC W
1:2
Oct 18, 2020 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Middlesbrough W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 10 / 100
Stoke City LFC W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough W Stoke City LFC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City LFC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Middlesbrough W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Stoke City LFC W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Middlesbrough W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough W VS Stoke City LFC W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

(Home)
20 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
16 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
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Stoke City LFC W

(Away)
20 Sept
Norwich W
1 : 1
Stoke City LFC W
13 Sept
Stoke City LFC W
3 : 0
Hull City W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Stoke City LFC W
5 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
16 Aug
Stoke City LFC W
2 : 0
West Brom W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley W 22 20 2 0 63:5 62
2 Wolverhampton W 22 20 1 1 70:10 61
3 Rugby Borough W 22 12 5 5 43:27 41
4 Stoke City LFC W 22 10 3 9 36:31 33
5 Middlesbrough W 22 8 7 7 29:30 31
6 West Brom W 22 9 4 9 29:31 31
7 Liverpool Feds W 22 7 5 10 44:45 26
8 Derby W 22 6 4 12 18:39 22
9 Hull City W 22 5 5 12 23:54 20
10 Loughborough Lightning W 22 4 7 11 21:43 19
11 Halifax W 22 4 4 14 15:38 16
12 Sporting Khalsa W 22 3 1 18 18:56 10
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