Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Flores M.
Assist: Perales J.
56'
56'
Gigli L.
59'
59'
Sub
Yangali J. In: Fernandez M.
Out: Yangali J.
AI Match Summary
Midland in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Midland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Midland have won more games recently than Quilmes.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Midland taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Midland | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Quilmes
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Midland
0:0
Mar 5, 2013 Copa Argentina
Quilmes vs Midland
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Quilmes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Midland 86 / 100
Quilmes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Midland Quilmes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Midland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Midland found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Midland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Quilmes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Midland VS Quilmes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Midland
(Home) 20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2 Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0 Midland
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
Quilmes
(Away) 20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Quilmes
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
