Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Flores M.
Assist: Perales J.
56'
56'
Gigli L.
59'
59'
Sub
Yangali J. In: Fernandez M.
Out: Yangali J.
AI Match Summary
Midland in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Midland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Midland have won more games recently than Quilmes.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Midland taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Midland Clean Sheet 20%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Midland | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Quilmes
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Midland
0:0
Mar 5, 2013 Copa Argentina
Quilmes vs Midland
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Quilmes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Midland 42 / 100
Quilmes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Midland Quilmes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Midland found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Midland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Quilmes conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Midland VS Quilmes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Midland
(Home) 12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
21 Jun
Patronato
1 : 1 Midland
13 Jun
Midland
1 : 2 Atletico Atlanta
06 Jun
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Midland
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Jun
Midland
1 : 2 Atletico Atlanta
31 May
Midland
2 : 0 San Martin T.
17 May
Midland
2 : 0 Agropecuario
Page 1 of 3
Quilmes
(Away) 12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
07 Jun
San Martin T.
0 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
07 Jun
San Martin T.
0 : 0 Quilmes
24 May
Agropecuario
0 : 0 Quilmes
10 May
Club Atletico Guemes
2 : 1 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:19 | 38 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 19:8 | 33 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15:13 | 32 |
| 7 | Godoy Cruz | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Madryn | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 27 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 17:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 14:18 | 24 |
| 13 | All Boys | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13:20 | 23 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 20:27 | 22 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17:23 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15:23 | 20 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 18 | Central Norte | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13:23 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18:11 | 36 |
| 5 | Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22:15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16:18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:21 | 28 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J. | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | 26 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18:19 | 26 |
| 13 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16:22 | 25 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:18 | 22 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:36 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
