Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Migori vs MOFA

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Migori Logo

Migori

1 - 0
FT
MOFA Logo

MOFA

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Migori and MOFA finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Migori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Migori
35%
Draws
15%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Migori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • MOFA haven't matched Migori's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Migori taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Migori Clean Sheet 20%
MOFA Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migori MOFA
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 13
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Migori vs MOFA
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Migori
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Super League
Migori vs MOFA
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Super League
MOFA vs Migori
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migori 42 / 100
MOFA 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migori MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Migori stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Migori scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

MOFA has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Migori VS MOFA
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Migori

(Home)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)