Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milsami vs Zimbru Chisinau Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei
Milsami Logo

Milsami

0 - 1
FT
Zimbru Chisinau Logo

Zimbru Chisinau

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Igor Souza
38'
Kalabatama K.
46'
Sub
Odubia P. In: Yoda A.
Out: Odubia P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Zimbru Chisinau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Milsami
15%
Draws
32%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Milsami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Milsami taking it.
  • Zimbru Chisinau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbru Chisinau, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Zimbru Chisinau here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Milsami Clean Sheet 68%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 9 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.91 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami
4:2
Jun 27, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:0
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Milsami vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:1
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Matteo Amoroso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 59 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami Zimbru Chisinau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milsami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbru Chisinau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Milsami went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zimbru Chisinau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS Zimbru Chisinau
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Milsami

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
Page 1 of 7

Zimbru Chisinau

(Away)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0