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Minerva vs Real Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Yoldi A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Minerva and Real Murcia B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Minerva
20%
Draws
10%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Minerva haven't matched Real Murcia B's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Minerva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Minerva Clean Sheet 68%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva Real Murcia B
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Real Murcia B
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Minerva
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Real Murcia B
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Minerva
3:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Minerva
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoldi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 68 / 100
Real Murcia B 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Murcia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Minerva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Murcia B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS Real Murcia B
0.86 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
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Real Murcia B

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)