Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mingachevir vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

1 - 1
FT
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Asadov G.
40' Event
Haziyev B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Mingachevir and Lokbatan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mingachevir
20%
Draws
16%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mingachevir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mingachevir's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Lokbatan
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Mingachevir
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Lokbatan
1:1
Oct 16, 2024 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Mingachevir
0:0
May 22, 2024 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Lokbatan
2:2
Dec 7, 2023 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Mingachevir
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mingachevir Compare

Top Goalscorer Asadov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Haziyev B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 85 / 100
Lokbatan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mingachevir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mingachevir's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Lokbatan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Lokbatan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS Lokbatan
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
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Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Gancabasar 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)