Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mingachevir vs Shamkir

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015/2016 game between Mingachevir and Shamkir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mingachevir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mingachevir
22%
Draws
18%
Shamkir
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mingachevir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mingachevir are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular First Division 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shamkir have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Shamkir
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2017 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Mingachevir
5:1
Nov 12, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Shamkir
0:5
Apr 2, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Shamkir
1:0
Nov 6, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Mingachevir
3:0
May 15, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Mingachevir
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 58 / 100
Shamkir 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Shamkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Shamkir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Mingachevir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 7

Shamkir

(Away)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)