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Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

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MLS Next Pro Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Minnesota United 2 Logo

Minnesota United 2

Sun, May 17, 2026
1 - 2
12:00 AM
Houston Dynamo 2 Logo

Houston Dynamo 2

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Miller R.
25' Event
Randell D.
Assist: Caldeira M.
43'
Harwood M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Minnesota United 2 and Houston Dynamo 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Minnesota United 2
15%
Draws
14%
Houston Dynamo 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Minnesota United 2 have managed 1.69 goals a game lately — Houston Dynamo 2 are scoring more at 2.
  • Win probability leans Minnesota United 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United 2 Houston Dynamo 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.69 2
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Minnesota United 2
0:2
Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Minnesota United 2
4:0
May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2
3:2
Jun 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Randell D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brummett A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 2 85 / 100
Houston Dynamo 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United 2 Houston Dynamo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minnesota United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United 2's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Minnesota United 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Houston Dynamo 2 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United 2 VS Houston Dynamo 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 7

Houston Dynamo 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)