Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mirassol U20 vs Jabaquara U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirassol U20 play Jabaquara U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mirassol U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Jabaquara U20 averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Mirassol U20 won 0, Jabaquara U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.83 for Mirassol U20 and 1.25 for Jabaquara U20. This points to a Jabaquara U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mirassol U20
19%
Draws
44%
Jabaquara U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Jabaquara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Mirassol U20 picked up more points recently compared to Jabaquara U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.83 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Mirassol U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Jabaquara U20 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol U20 Jabaquara U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Paulista U20
Mirassol U20 vs Jabaquara U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jabaquara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacob V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol U20 37 / 100
Jabaquara U20 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol U20 Jabaquara U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jabaquara U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mirassol U20 attacking → ← attacking Jabaquara U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol U20 scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Jabaquara U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Mirassol U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jabaquara U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 27
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U20541010:113
2CA Juventus U20540115:512
3Santos U20532010:011
4Corinthians U2043104:010
5Portuguesa U2042117:47
6Ponte Preta U2052125:67
7Portuguesa Santista U2052129:117
8Sertaozinho U2052123:57
9Jabaquara U2052033:46
10Sao Bento U2051135:74
11Uniao Suzano U2051134:134
12Itapirense U2051046:113
13America SP U2051041:103
14Mirassol U2050234:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20550015:215
2Sao Paulo U20541010:113
3Osasco Sporting U2054019:612
4Desportivo U2054016:312
5Aguai U2062227:118
6Santo Andre U2062138:87
7Uniao Sao Joao U2061325:56
8Paulinense U2061326:86
9Novorizontino U2051227:65
10EC Sao Bernardo U2051225:95
11Sao Caetano U2061147:124
12Bandeirante U2061144:104
13Botafogo SP U2050415:64
14Piracicaba U2050414:64
15Velo Clube U2060424:94
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U20541011:213
2Bragantino U20440012:412
3Guarani U2054019:512
4Agua Santa U20632113:711
5Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
6Sfera U20630314:69
7Osasco Audax U2062226:58
8XV de Jau U2052124:67
9Capivariano U2061417:87
10Flamengo SP U2062045:126
11Ituano U2051316:86
12Tanabi U2061237:115
13Maua FC U2061234:115
14Referencia U2050144:111
15Porto Football U2050140:71