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Misto vs Comercial MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Sun, Nov 3, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Misto host Comercial MS in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. This one's hard to separate. Misto have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Comercial MS's 1.59 scored and 1.47 conceded. Head-to-head, Misto have won 1 to Comercial MS's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.71 xG vs 0.92) point toward Misto. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Misto
30%
Draws
39%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial MS have won more games recently than Misto.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Misto Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Misto Comercial MS
Matches Played 10 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Misto
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Comercial MS
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Misto
0:0
Feb 25, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Misto
0:0
Jan 28, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Misto vs Comercial MS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Misto 36 / 100
Comercial MS 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Misto Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS has conceded goals in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Misto's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Misto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Misto VS Comercial MS
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Misto

(Home)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
Page 1 of 2

Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Main)