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Mito vs Urawa Reds

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Mito Logo

Mito

1 - 4
FT
Urawa Reds Logo

Urawa Reds

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Yasui K.
26'
Omori S.
46'
Sub
Okuda K. In: Matheus Leiria
Out: Okuda K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Mito and Urawa Reds finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa Reds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mito
15%
Draws
54%
Urawa Reds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urawa Reds come out ahead of Mito on wins alone.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Urawa Reds have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Mito Clean Sheet 14%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mito Urawa Reds
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Urawa Reds
1:4
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Mito
2:0
Aug 14, 2019 Emperors Cup
Urawa Reds vs Mito
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mito Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamoto H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Urawa Reds Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiese I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yasui K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mito 31 / 100
Urawa Reds 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mito Urawa Reds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa Reds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Mito scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Urawa Reds let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Mito has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mito VS Urawa Reds
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mito

(Home)
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
02 Sept
Mito
4 : 2
Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6

Urawa Reds

(Away)
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)