Sport Picks

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Mitundu Baptist vs Civo Utd

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Nyirenda M.
62' Event
Mtondera R.
90' Event
Mtondera R.

AI Match Summary

Mitundu Baptist in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mitundu Baptist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mitundu Baptist
30%
Draws
42%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Civo Utd have won more games recently than Mitundu Baptist.
  • Model gives Mitundu Baptist a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Mitundu Baptist Clean Sheet 68%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitundu Baptist Civo Utd
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super League
Mitundu Baptist vs Civo Utd
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mitundu Baptist Compare

Top Goalscorer Mtondera R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nyirenda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Civo Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitundu Baptist 50 / 100
Civo Utd 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitundu Baptist Civo Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitundu Baptist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Civo Utd conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mitundu Baptist remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mitundu Baptist's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mitundu Baptist VS Civo Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitundu Baptist

(Home)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Big Bullets
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Mitundu Baptist
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
Page 1 of 3

Civo Utd

(Away)
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)