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Mjallby vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strandvallen, Hällevik
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Helge T.
33'
Kjaer J.
60'
Pettersson T.

AI Match Summary

AIK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mjallby
35%
Draws
46%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AIK have won more games recently than Mjallby.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on AIK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
AIK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby AIK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Mjallby
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs AIK
1:2
Jul 20, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs AIK
2:0
May 11, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Mjallby
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Mjallby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Youssef A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helm A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 10 / 100
AIK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjallby found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

AIK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mjallby stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS AIK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
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AIK

(Away)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)