Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjallby vs GAIS

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Strandvallen, Hällevik
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Granath V.
31' Event
Pettersson T.
Assist: Gustafson V.
45'
de Brienne M.

AI Match Summary

Mjallby in this Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Mjallby
30%
Draws
58%
GAIS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GAIS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GAIS lately — more wins on the board than Mjallby.
  • Model gives GAIS a 58% chance of winning this.
  • GAIS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor GAIS, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
GAIS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby GAIS
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs GAIS
0:3
Apr 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Mjallby
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs GAIS
3:0
Aug 25, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Mjallby
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs GAIS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergstrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

GAIS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 10 / 100
GAIS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby GAIS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjallby found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: GAIS conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Mjallby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS GAIS
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
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GAIS

(Away)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
31 Aug
GAIS
4 : 0
Brommapojkarna
27 Aug
Husqvarna
0 : 7
GAIS
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby 4
Malmo FF 0
GAIS 3
AIK 2
Hammarby 1
Djurgarden 0
Sirius 1
IFK Goteborg 0
Semi-finals
Mjallby 3
GAIS 0
Hammarby 4
Sirius 3
Final
Mjallby 2
Hammarby 1