Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjallby vs Hammarby

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Stroud E.
Assist: Miettinen T.
22' Event
Abraham P.
Assist: Skoglund H.
44'
Lind V.

AI Match Summary

Mjallby in this Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Mjallby
30%
Draws
58%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than Mjallby.
  • Hammarby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hammarby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mjallby, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Hammarby
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.32 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Hammarby
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Mjallby
3:0
May 22, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Mjallby
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Hammarby
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Mjallby
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Stroud E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergstrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraham P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 10 / 100
Hammarby 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Mjallby's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hammarby let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mjallby remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Hammarby
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
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Hammarby

(Away)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby 4
Malmo FF 0
GAIS 3
AIK 2
Hammarby 1
Djurgarden 0
Sirius 1
IFK Goteborg 0
Semi-finals
Mjallby 3
GAIS 0
Hammarby 4
Sirius 3
Final
Mjallby 2
Hammarby 1