Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prague

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Milla K.
46'
Sub
Kostka D. In: Kolarik J.
Out: Kostka D.
46'
Sub
Kabongo C. In: Klima J.
Out: Kabongo C.

AI Match Summary

Dukla Prague in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dukla Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mlada Boleslav
15%
Draws
44%
Dukla Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dukla Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mlada Boleslav lately — more wins on the board than Dukla Prague.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 14%
Dukla Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mlada Boleslav Dukla Prague
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prague
2:0
May 12, 2026 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prague
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prague
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Dukla Prague vs Mlada Boleslav
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prague
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Top Goalscorer Karafiat O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dukla Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Milla K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilbert D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mlada Boleslav 30 / 100
Dukla Prague 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mlada Boleslav Dukla Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mlada Boleslav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mlada Boleslav's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dukla Prague has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Mlada Boleslav remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mlada Boleslav VS Dukla Prague
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mlada Boleslav

(Home)
19 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Brno
15 Sept
Trinec
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
26 Aug
Meteor Prague
0 : 4
Mlada Boleslav
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Dukla Prague

(Away)
18 Sept
Prostejov
2 : 2
Dukla Prague
11 Sept
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Vlasim
05 Sept
Opava
1 : 2
Dukla Prague
28 Aug
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Jihlava
25 Aug
Horni Redice
0 : 5
Dukla Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Teplice 35 10 12 13 40:42 42
12 Zlin 35 11 8 16 43:56 41
13 Mlada Boleslav 35 9 13 13 49:57 40
14 Slovacko 35 7 9 19 30:51 30
15 Ostrava 35 7 8 20 32:49 29
16 Dukla Prague 35 5 11 19 23:51 26
Relegation - Chance Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - ChNL (Main)