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Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Subert M.
19'
Holly D.
44'
Macek R.

AI Match Summary

Mlada Boleslav in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mlada Boleslav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mlada Boleslav
15%
Draws
47%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Prague lately — more wins on the board than Mlada Boleslav.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Prague's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 14%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mlada Boleslav Sparta Prague
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 6 1
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.03 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague
2:0
Mar 3, 2026 MOL Cup
Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Mlada Boleslav
3:2
Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Sparta Prague vs Mlada Boleslav
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Top Goalscorer Subert M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sparta Prague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mlada Boleslav 19 / 100
Sparta Prague 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mlada Boleslav Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mlada Boleslav scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Prague's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Mlada Boleslav remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mlada Boleslav VS Sparta Prague
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mlada Boleslav

(Home)
02 Oct
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1
Pribram
19 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Brno
15 Sept
Trinec
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3
Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)