Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moca vs Atlantico FC

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

Copa de la LDF
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sabella V.
47' Event
Adrian B.
57' Event
Dabas R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Moca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Moca
33%
Draws
40%
Atlantico FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atlantico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlantico FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atlantico FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Atlantico FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Moca, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Moca Clean Sheet 20%
Atlantico FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Atlantico FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Atlantico FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 LDF
Atlantico FC vs Moca
3:1
Apr 22, 2025 Copa de la LDF
Moca vs Atlantico FC
3:1
Aug 18, 2024 LDF
Atlantico FC vs Moca
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 LDF
Moca vs Atlantico FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabella V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ventura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Atlantico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adrian B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 28 / 100
Atlantico FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Atlantico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Moca scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Atlantico FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Moca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS Atlantico FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
24 Apr
Universidad O&M
1 : 1
Moca
18 Apr
Moca
1 : 0
Delfines Del Este
11 Apr
Atletico Pantoja
3 : 0
Moca
01 Apr
Moca
2 : 2
Cibao
21 Mar
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
Page 1 of 7

Atlantico FC

(Away)
17 Dec
Atlantico FC
1 : 1
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
14 Dec
Universidad O&M
0 : 2
Atlantico FC
06 Dec
Moca
1 : 0
Atlantico FC
29 Nov
Atlantico FC
3 : 0
San Cristobal
23 Nov
Vega Real
0 : 1
Atlantico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cibao1183031:627
2Delfines Del Este1173115:424
3Atletico Pantoja1172227:1123
4Moca1170410:821
5Universidad O&M1152418:1517
6Atlantico FC1145214:1017
7Salcedo1143417:1115
8Santa Fe1143415:1715
9Vega Real1140717:1212
10CBA Santo Domingo112188:397
11Don Bosco Jarabacoa111196:274
12San Cristobal110387:253
Promotion - Copa de la LDF (Play Offs)