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Moelven vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tiller in this Division 3 - Group 4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tiller.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Moelven
15%
Draws
21%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moelven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tiller haven't matched Moelven's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Moelven's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Moelven Clean Sheet 19%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moelven Tiller
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.57 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Moelven vs Tiller
1:2
Jun 23, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Moelven
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moelven 36 / 100
Tiller 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moelven Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moelven scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tiller let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tiller lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tiller
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Moelven

(Home)
24 Oct
Moelven
1 : 0
Buvik
17 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn 2
5 : 2
Moelven
10 Oct
Moelven
1 : 3
Flisa
03 Oct
Tynset
3 : 0
Moelven
26 Sept
Moelven
2 : 4
FK Kvik
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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