Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOFA vs Naivas FC

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MOFA in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MOFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
MOFA
22%
Draws
60%
Naivas FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Naivas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Naivas FC average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of MOFA's 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Naivas FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • MOFA have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
MOFA Clean Sheet 13%
Naivas FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOFA Naivas FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 13 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Naivas FC
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Naivas FC vs MOFA
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Naivas FC
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Naivas FC vs MOFA
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOFA 19 / 100
Naivas FC 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOFA Naivas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOFA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Naivas FC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: MOFA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

MOFA VS Naivas FC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MOFA

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

Naivas FC

(Away)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)