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Mogadishu City vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mogadishu City
6%
Draws
90%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gaadiidka at 2.38 per game, Mogadishu City at 1.38.
  • Model gives Gaadiidka a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 17%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Gaadiidka
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 11 7
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City
0:0
May 29, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Gaadiidka
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City
1:1
Jan 2, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Gaadiidka
1:0
Jul 29, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 10 / 100
Gaadiidka 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Mogadishu City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Gaadiidka conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Gaadiidka
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
28 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 4
Singida Black Stars
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
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Gaadiidka

(Away)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
07 Jul
Heegan
1 : 2
Gaadiidka
29 Jun
Raadsan
0 : 6
Gaadiidka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado20721141:3523
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye18111618:864
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