Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Ali A.
59'
59'
Cummings J.
78'
78'
Oloumou P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
15%
25%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan come out ahead of Machhindra on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 90%.
- Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Machhindra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohun Bagan | Machhindra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 3 |
| Wins | 18 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2023 AFC Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Machhindra
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mohun Bagan Compare
Top Goalscorer Ali A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cummings J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Machhindra Compare
Top Goalscorer Oloumou P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Machhindra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mohun Bagan Machhindra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Machhindra let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Mohun Bagan found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Mohun Bagan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mohun Bagan VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mohun Bagan
(Home) 23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1 Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 CISF Protectors
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1 Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 CISF Protectors
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
8 : 0 South United
Page 1 of 5
Machhindra
(Away) 16 Aug
Mohun Bagan
3 : 1 Machhindra
08 Aug
Machhindra
3 : 2 Paro
05 Apr
Machhindra
1 : 2 Blue Star
16 Aug
Mohun Bagan
3 : 1 Machhindra
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nahda -
Mohun Bagan -
TBD -
Machhindra 3
Paro 2
Abahani Limited Dhaka -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Eagles -
Khujand -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merw -
TBD -
TBD -
Alay Osh -
Tampines -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phnom Penh Crown -
TBD -
TBD -
Young Elephant -
PSM Makassar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yangon United -
TBD -
TBD -
DPMM -
Al-Ittihad Aleppo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shabab Al Khaleel -
Monte Carlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taichung Futuro -
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nahda -
Mohun Bagan 3
Machhindra 1
Abahani Limited Dhaka 2
Club Eagles 1
Khujand -
TBD -
Merw 1
Alay Osh 0
Tampines -
TBD -
Phnom Penh Crown 3
Young Elephant 0
PSM Makassar -
TBD -
Yangon United 2
DPMM 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo -
TBD -
TBD -
Shabab Al Khaleel -
Monte Carlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Taichung Futuro -
Final
Al Khalidiyah 2
Al Nahda 3
Mohun Bagan 3
Abahani Limited Dhaka 1
Khujand 1
Merw 2
Tampines 2
Phnom Penh Crown 3
PSM Makassar 4
Yangon United 0
Al-Ittihad Aleppo 2
Shabab Al Khaleel 1
Monte Carlo 1
Taichung Futuro 2
