Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan vs Pune

India India

I-League 2014/2015
Mohun Bagan Logo

Mohun Bagan

1 - 0
FT
Pune Logo

Pune

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sueoka R.
21'
Devadas D.
35'
Ganesh D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this I-League 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
28%
Pune
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan have won more games recently than Pune.
  • Mohun Bagan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I-League 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Pune Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Pune
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 29 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.11 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2015 I-League
Pune vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Feb 7, 2015 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Pune
1:0
Dec 21, 2013 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Pune
3:1
Oct 10, 2013 I-League
Pune vs Mohun Bagan
2:0
Apr 24, 2013 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Pune
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotal P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Pune Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
Pune 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Pune

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (44 games).

Pune let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Mohun Bagan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
CISF Protectors
Page 1 of 9

Pune

(Away)
30 May
SC Goa
4 : 0
Pune
24 May
Lajong
0 : 1
Pune
17 May
East Bengal
1 : 2
Pune
10 May
Kalyani Bharat
1 : 0
Pune
25 Apr
Pune
0 : 2
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 20 11 6 3 33:16 39
2 Bengaluru FC 20 10 7 3 35:19 37
3 Royal Wahingdoh 20 8 6 6 27:27 30
4 East Bengal 20 8 5 7 30:28 29
5 Pune 20 8 5 7 24:26 29
6 Mumbai 20 5 9 6 22:27 24
7 Salgaocar SC 20 7 3 10 25:27 24
8 SC Goa 20 5 8 7 22:27 23
9 Lajong 20 6 5 9 34:29 23
10 Dempo 20 3 10 7 15:26 19
11 Kalyani Bharat 20 4 6 10 13:28 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification - Play Offs)