Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Nkongo M.
18' Event
Ismayilov R.
28' Event
Faracov S.

AI Match Summary

MOIK Baku in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
MOIK Baku
6%
Draws
4%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • MOIK Baku have won more games recently than Zaqatala PFK.
  • MOIK Baku are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs MOIK Baku
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
0:1
May 2, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs MOIK Baku
1:0
Feb 28, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkongo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faracov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismayilov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 85 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Zaqatala PFK's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Zaqatala PFK
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 7

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
06 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 3
Sabail
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)