Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molde vs Sandefjord

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aker Stadion, Molde
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gulbrandsen F.
Assist: Breivik E.
46'
Sub
Linnes M. In: Amundsen I.
Out: Linnes M.
57' Event
Hestad E.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Molde and Sandefjord finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Molde
33%
Draws
27%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sandefjord carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Molde a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sandefjord here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Molde Clean Sheet 18%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde Sandefjord
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sandefjord
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sandefjord
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Molde
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sandefjord
0:1
May 5, 2024 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Molde
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulbrandsen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hestad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathisen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 40 / 100
Sandefjord 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Sandefjord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Sandefjord has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Molde VS Sandefjord
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde

(Home)
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

Sandefjord

(Away)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1
Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)