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Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moldova U19 host Bulgaria U19 in the Euro U19. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Moldova U19 at 1.17 goals for, 1.47 against; Bulgaria U19 at 1.34 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Moldova U19 have won 1 to Bulgaria U19's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Bulgaria U19. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Moldova U19
30%
Draws
37%
Bulgaria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Moldova U19 have won more games recently than Bulgaria U19.
  • Bulgaria U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moldova U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Bulgaria U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U19 Bulgaria U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
1:0
Oct 15, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19
4:1
Feb 1, 2021 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U19 20 / 100
Bulgaria U19 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U19 Bulgaria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moldova U19 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bulgaria U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Moldova U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moldova U19 VS Bulgaria U19
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U19

(Home)
11 Nov
Latvia U19
3 : 1
Moldova U19
29 Sept
Moldova U19
0 : 1
Cyprus U19
27 Sept
Moldova U19
2 : 1
Cyprus U19
31 Mar
Moldova U19
1 : 1
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 2
Moldova U19
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Bulgaria U19

(Away)
11 Nov
Bulgaria U19
6 : 0
Gibraltar U19
29 Sept
Bulgaria U19
0 : 1
Romania U19
26 Sept
Hungary U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
24 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
07 Jun
Bulgaria U19
3 : 0
Albania U19
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