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Mollerussa vs FE Grama Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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Match Events

10' Event
Graells Mas J.
18' Event
Padillo A.
89' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Mollerussa and FE Grama finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FE Grama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mollerussa
30%
Draws
37%
FE Grama
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FE Grama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mollerussa haven't matched FE Grama's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 20%
FE Grama Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa FE Grama
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs FE Grama
1:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs Mollerussa
2:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs Mollerussa
2:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs FE Grama
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs FE Grama
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mollerussa Compare

Top Goalscorer Graells Mas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FE Grama Compare

Top Goalscorer Padillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 32 / 100
FE Grama 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa FE Grama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FE Grama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FE Grama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mollerussa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mollerussa scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS FE Grama
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

FE Grama

(Away)
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
13 Sept
FE Grama
1 : 1
FC Martinenc
05 Sept
FC Lescala
1 : 2
FE Grama
15 Aug
FC Martinenc
0 : 0
FE Grama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)