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Monaco vs Brest

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Balogun F.
Assist: Camara L.
36'
Kehrer T.
45'
Diaz Jr. M.

AI Match Summary

Monaco in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Monaco
28%
Draws
22%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Monaco have won more games recently than Brest.
  • Monaco are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monaco Clean Sheet 14%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaco Brest
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Brest
2:0
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Monaco
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Monaco
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Brest
3:2
Apr 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Monaco
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogun F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Golovin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Brest Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaco 48 / 100
Brest 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaco Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaco scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Brest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Brest registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monaco VS Brest
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaco

(Home)
25 Jul
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Monaco
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2
Saint Priest
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4
Monaco
10 May
Monaco
0 : 1
Lille
02 May
Metz
1 : 2
Monaco
Page 1 of 6

Brest

(Away)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)