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Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Ortiz J.
20'
Basante F.
33'
Isah M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Monagas and Academia Puerto Cabello finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academia Puerto Cabello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Monagas
15%
Draws
57%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Academia Puerto Cabello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — Monagas are scoring more at 1.55.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Monagas Clean Sheet 16%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Academia Puerto Cabello
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:2
Oct 18, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
3:3
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
1:0
Nov 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 31 / 100
Academia Puerto Cabello 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Academia Puerto Cabello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academia Puerto Cabello Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Academia Puerto Cabello let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Academia Puerto Cabello's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Academia Puerto Cabello
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
03 Nov
Monagas
0 : 2
Caracas
31 Oct
Caracas
2 : 3
Monagas
27 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 0
Monagas
24 Oct
Monagas
1 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
21 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 1
Monagas
Page 1 of 6

Academia Puerto Cabello

(Away)
03 Nov
Dep. Tachira
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
31 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 1
Dep. Tachira
27 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 1
Caracas
24 Oct
Monagas
1 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
21 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Deportivo La Guaira 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
3 Metropolitanos 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
4 Portuguesa 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Caracas 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
4 Monagas 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)